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Racecards

16:20 Ayr

Paradigm Handicap (Class 4)

  • 7 Runners
  • Distance: 7f 50y
  • Going: Good, Good to Soft in places
  • Surface: Turf
Weighed In
  • Winning Time: 1m 35.23s
  • Off Time: 16:20:25
  • 7 Ran
1(4)
Silk - White, Brown Cross of Lorraine, White and Brown chevrons on sleeves, Brown cap

John Keats

13 BF
7/2
  • Form 181-825
  • Age 3
  • Weight 9-7
  • Official Rating 82

tracked leaders, ridden over 3f out, weakened final furlong

2(5)
Silk - ROYAL BLUE and YELLOW (quartered), striped sleeves and cap
  • Form 07700-4
  • Age 3
  • Weight 9-1
  • Official Rating 76

held up, raced keen, headway over 5f out to chase leaders, ridden 3f out, weakened final furlong

3(7)
Silk - Royal Blue, Grey stars, Royal Blue sleeves

Soto

13
4/1
  • Form 657-783
  • Age 3
  • Weight 8-11
  • Official Rating 72

tracked leaders, ridden, every chance 3f out, kept on, one pace

4(2)
Silk - Purple, Light Green epaulets
  • Form 743-38
  • Age 3
  • Weight 8-10
  • Official Rating 71

prominent, led after a furlong, ridden 3f out, headed, no extra from over 1f out

5(3)
Silk - Dark Blue and Yellow (quartered), Yellow sleeves, Dark Blue stars and stars on cap
  • Form 34655-3
  • Age 3
  • Weight 8-10
  • Official Rating 71

held up, ridden, headway from over 2f out to lead over 1f out, kept on well

6(1)
Silk - Light Blue and White stripes, Red and Yellow striped cap

Petross

186
14/1
  • Form 410-
  • Age 3
  • Weight 8-4
  • Official Rating 65

led, headed after a furlong, hung right, hampered over 5f out, lost place, not recover

7(6)
Silk - Purple, Mauve chevron, chevrons on sleeves, hooped cap
20/1
  • Form 407-
  • Age 3
  • Weight 8-2
  • Official Rating 55

tracked leaders, ridden over 3f out, soon beaten

In depth

Verdict

Soto gets the confident vote here with John Keats and The Osteopath rated as the main dangers. The selection ran well when a good third behind Imperial Sword at Hamilton last time. That race has worked out well and with ground conditions to suit Soto is taken to lead them home. John Keats rates the main danger as he was not all that far behind our selection in that Hamilton race and he probably paid the price for going off too quickly. On these terms there should not be a great deal between them again at the finish. The Osteopath stayed-on well despite being slowly away at Thirsk last time, but the trip seemed to suit that day so it will be interesting to see how he fares this afternoon dropped back down to 7f. Tora Petcha ran well enough on his seasonal reappearance at Warwick last time so he should strip fitter today and could could take some place money. However, for the winner we will stick with Soto.

Formwatch

John Keats 5-2fav (9-4) Led, ridden halfway, headed over 2f out, gradually weakened, 5th of 9, 3 1/2l behind Imperial Sword (8-11) at Hamilton 6f 3yo hcp (4) gd in May.

Tora Petcha (IRE) 16-1 (8-11) Led, ridden and headed over 1f out, carried left inside final furlong, no extra towards finish, 4th of 9, 2 1/2l behind Adeje Park (9-4) at Warwick 7f 3yo hcp (4) gd in May.

Soto 12-1 (8-5) Prominent, ridden over 2f out, kept on one pace, 3rd of 9, 2 1/2l behind Imperial Sword (8-11) at Hamilton 6f 3yo hcp (4) gd in May.

Great Chieftain (IRE) 20-1 (8-13) Keen early, held up, ridden 2f out, never on terms, 8th of 13, 10l behind Heaven Knows (9-4) at Thirsk 1m 3yo hcp (4) hvy in May.

The Osteopath (IRE) 33-1 (8-11) Slowly into stride and behind, headway over 2f out, ridden and stayed on final furlong, nearest finish, 3rd of 13, 2 1/2l behind Heaven Knows (9-4) at Thirsk 1m 3yo hcp (4) hvy in May.

Petross 10th of 11, more than 1 1/2l behind Baldoria at La Zarzuela 1m stk std in Nov.

Cole (IRE) 100-1 (8-12) Towards rear, soon chased along but never on terms, 7th of 10, 16l behind Give Me The Night (8-13) at Catterick 5f nov stk (5) gd in Oct.