soon led, ridden and headed over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong
tracked leaders, ridden when not clear run briefly over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong
behind, soon pushed along, headway and not clear run over 1f out, ran on well inside final furlong, nearest to finish
chased leaders, ridden over 2f out, weakened over 1f out
held up, headway over 2f out, led over 1f out, ridden and edged left inside final furlong, headed last stride
led early, in touch, ridden when not clear run over 1f out, ran on to lead last stride
with leader, ridden over 3f out, weakened final furlong
Following a 3lb drop Baltic Wave might just be good enough to take this from Commando Scott, with the others having a bit to prove. That statement could also arguably be applied to the selection, whose best trip has yet to be decided, but who can return to some decent form he showed as a two-year-old now that he has got his seasonal reappearance under his belt. That was a hefty defeat over seven furlongs, but he ran as though he needed it and should strip much fitter here. Bred to get a mile, he shouldn't have any problems getting the trip and that drop in the weights gives him every chance in a race that does not look that competitive. Commando Scott carries much less weight and could be a danger, especially as he won't mind any rain. Second on both his last two starts, he wouldn't want to be going any further than this, and a 1lb rise for his latest run means that winning this will be even harder. Even so, he is expected to be thereabouts at the business end and should give the selection most to do. None of the others are in particularly decent form at present and it would be a surprise if they were up to beating our choice, Baltic Wave.
