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Racecards

Abandoned

16:50 Carlisle

X-factor 25th July 'junior' Standard Open Nh Flat Race (Class 6)

  • 14 Runners
  • Distance: 1m 6f
  • Going: Soft
  • Surface: Turf
  • £2,200 added
1
Silk - Royal Blue, White sash and sleeves, quartered cap

Bold Sir Brian (IRE)

70 D
  • Form 1
  • Age 4
  • Weight 11-5

2
Silk - Yellow, Black triple diamond, Black sleeves, Yellow diamonds and diamonds on cap

Ballet D'anges (FR)

  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-12

3
Silk - Emerald Green, Yellow Cross of Lorraine, Yellow sleeves, Emerald Green armlets

Benamy Boy

  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-12

4
Silk - Royal Blue, Yellow chevrons, Dark Blue sleeves, Yellow cap

Its Bobkat (IRE)

  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-12

5
Silk - White, Maroon chevrons, Maroon sleeves, White armlets, White cap

Psalm Twentythree

  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-12

6
Silk - White, Red diamond, White sleeves, Light Green armlets, Light Green cap, Red diamond

Raggios Boy

  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-12

7
Silk - White, Red chevron, Emerald Green and Red striped sleeves, Red cap

Santamina (IRE)

  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-12

8
Silk - Gold and Black check, Pink sleeves and cap

Stetson

  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-12

9
Silk - Yellow and red (quartered), striped sleeves

Swallow (FR)

101
  • Form 5
  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-12

10
Silk - Purple, Red hoops, Red cap

Thurnham

  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-12

11
Silk - Maroon, Grey Cross of Lorraine

Arkas

  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-5

12
Silk - Maroon, light blue hoops, check cap

Beyond The Mist

  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-5

13
Silk - BROWN, beige braces, orange cap

Hole In One (IRE)

  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-5

14
Silk - Yellow, Red seams and sleeves, Red and Yellow hooped cap

Rock 'n Rose

70
  • Form 5
  • Age 4
  • Weight 10-5

In depth

Verdict

With only three of the 15 runners in this bumper having seen a racecourse before the market should give us plenty of clues but in the absence of that signpost we side with Alan Swinbank's STETSON ahead of debut winner Bold Sir Brian and Keith Reveley's Thurnham. With an eye-catching flat pedigree the selection hails from a yard that take these races more seriously than most and with some stamina also in the bloodline to make sure this trip suits he should be putting in a good debut performance. If experience counts for anything then Lucinda Russell's Bold Sir Brain has to be given a chance after his debut success. The old adage that it's difficult to win a bumper under a penalty is applied here but there is some strength to the form from that contest and he remains on our list. Thurnham is another with a decent flat pedigree and looks bred or this kind of trip. His family tree connects him with a Derby runner-up so if living up to his potential he looks a real live contender. Rock N Rose and Swallow should be considered after solid debut runs but in a race were the market should be our best guide we go for Stetson in its absence.

Formwatch

Bold Sir Brian (IRE) 20-1 (10-12) Held up, headway 3f out, led inside final furlong, driven out, won at Ayr 1m 6f 3yo nhf (5) sft in Dec beating Darna (10-9) by 3/4l, 14 ran.

Ballet D'anges (FR) Ange Gabriel gelding out of Balm.

Benamy Boy First Trump gelding out of Carol Again.

Its Bobkat (IRE) Bob Back gelding out of Katieella.

Psalm Twentythree Josr Algarhoud gelding out of Cadeau Speciale.

Raggios Boy Karinga Bay gelding out of Fen Terrier.

Santamina (IRE) Anshan gelding out of Capotaormina.

Stetson Groom Dancer gelding out of Mindomica.

Swallow (FR) 16-1 (10-7) Tracked leaders, lost place over 2f out, 5th of 12, 16l behind Royal Swain (10-12) at Carlisle 1m 6f 3yo nhf (5) sft in Nov.

Thurnham Tobougg gelding out of Nobratinetta.

Arkas Rambling Bear filly out of Adar Jane.

Beyond The Mist And Beyond filly out of Rosie Mist.

Hole In One (IRE) Saddlers' Hall filly out of Shuildante.

Rock 'n Rose 33-1 (10-2) Held up towards rear, headway over 4f out, kept on same pace final 2f, 5th of 14, 8l behind Bold Sir Brian (10-12) at Ayr 1m 6f 3yo nhf (5) sft in Dec.