keen, soon chased leader, led well over 1f out, headed last strides
prominent, ridden over 1f out, not quicken inside final furlong
always in rear
led, ridden and headed well over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong
behind, headway on outside over 1f out, ran on inside final furlong
behind, headway over 1f out, ran on without being dangerous
switched left soon after start, soon behind
very keen in rear, headway over 4f out, weakened over 2f
held up, headway 2f out, not clear run inside final furlong, but ridden to lead clear home
in touch, ridden over 3f out, weakened 2f out
chased leader early, in touch until ridden 2f out, weakened 1f out
In a very open looking race Fulvio is taken to beat Humility and Colloseum. The selection goes particularly well here at Dunstall Park and looked back to his best last time when chasing home Tipsy Lad last time. This race is of a similar standard and he looks the best option. Humility hit winning form last time, beating the good yardstick Sincerely at Lingfield. Taking that form literally she is head and shoulders above these on official ratings and so has to be considered a major threat to all. Colloseum also entered the winners enclosure last time, beating Wilford Maverick over course and distance. A repeat of that effort should see him involved in the finish. Rafters Music can also be given a squeak on the pick of his form, but Fulvio has the best overall profile and gets the decision.
Fulvio (USA) 6-1 (9-2) In touch, went second over 2f out, soon ridden, led well inside final furlong, headed close home, 2nd of 12, nk behind Tipsy Lad (8-13) at W'hampton 7f stk (7) pol in Sept.
Humility 33-1 (9-2) In touch, good headway over 1f out, led approaching final furlong, driven out, won at Lingfield 7f mdn stk (5) pol in Oct beating Sincerely (9-0) by a nk, 9 ran.
Rafters Music (IRE) 33-1 (8-10) Raced stand side, held up, ridden halfway, never dangerous, 12th of 18, 13l behind Mugeba (8-7) at Yarmouth 6f hcp 0-60 (6) hvy.
Sierra 33-1 (9-8) Always behind, 15th of 18, 17l behind Lizarazu (9-10) at Lingfield 1m hcp (6) gf in Jul.
Awarding 14-1 (8-12) Started slowly, held up, ridden over 2f out, never dangerous, 10th of 14, 7l behind Aintnecessarilyso (9-2) at Warwick 6f stk (7) gd in Oct.
Cayman Breeze 5-1 (8-13) Tracked leaders, ridden and outpaced 3f out, stayed on, 6th of 12, 10l behind Smirfys Night (9-1) at W'hampton 7f stk (7) pol in Oct.
Colloseum 7-1 (8-9) Chased leaders, ridden 1f out, soon led, ran on well, won at W'hampton 7f stk (7) pol in Oct beating Wilford Maverick (8-5) by 1 1/2l, 12 ran.
Dane's Rock (IRE) 18-1 (8-1) Mid-division, headway on outer over 2f out, led over 1f out, held on well final furlong, won at Bath 1m sll hcp (6) frm in Sept beating Rowan Pursuit (8-8) by a nk, 14 ran.
