Your Best Bet
Sky Bet's tipsters pick out the best odds on this weekend's football, boxing and GAA
Last Updated: 17/05/13 4:40pm
This week's Your Best Bet looks into Saturday night's international boxing plus Sunday's football and the Gaelic football championship.
Betting Zone's Chris Chisnall, who is also the deputy editor of the Football League Paper, makes his debut on the column as he cites the best value ahead of the League One play-off final.
Meanwhile, Sky Bet's Jamie Casey chips in with his tips on a stateside boxing bout in the early hours of Sunday morning (GMT) and also recommends a value bet on this summer's Gaelic games from the Emerald Isle.
Amir Khan will be paying close attention to events in Atlantic City, New Jersey, on Saturday night/Sunday morning as he could yet face Lucas Matthysse or Lamont Peterson in a December showdown. The two men go toe-to-toe this weekend, with the winner set to face Danny Garcia in a light welterweight superfight later this year.
If rumours are to be believed, the winner of the aforementioned superfight will put his titles on the line before Christmas against Amir Khan, who will not fight again until the end of the year due to his wedding and Ramadan commitments. But first thing's first - who will advance to set up a date with Garcia?
Hard-hitting Argentine Matthysse is the favourite at 2/5 but Garcia himself has said he believes Peterson (2/1) will win the bout. If Peterson comes out all attacking, as he did in his last fight when he stopped an undersized Kendall Holt in eight rounds, he could easily get caught against a fighter of the calibre of Matthysse.
The 30-year-old will be brimming with confidence having knocked out Michael Dallas Junior in one round in January and he won't want to take this one to the cards having already suffered two agonising, disputable split-decisions against Zab Judah and Devon Alexander respectively. The knock-out specialist, who has won 31 of his 33 career victories by way of knock-out, should prove too powerful for Peterson. Back the Argentine to force a stoppage in the latter rounds.
Whatever happens at Wembley in Sunday's League One play-off final, there's no doubting Brentford and Yeovil have both had magnificent seasons. To finish third and fourth and then beat Swindon and Sheffield United respectively - it's been some effort to get this far.
But under the Arch I believe this final will be tight and for that reason the draw (9/4) looks the price to get on. The Glovers had the better of the two meetings earlier in the season with 3-0 and 3-1 wins, and they're 11/2 to win -1 this time around, but the Bees will surely have learned their lessons from those matches.
Both teams also possess one of the top strikers in the League with Brentford's Clayton Donaldson and Paddy Madden of Yeovil each passing 20 goals this term. They will relish this occasion but it could take at least extra-time to decide who comes out on top.
Either team to win in extra-time at 5/1 is the value bet of choice, while the same price is available for either side to win on penalties. However, the draw is too safe to ignore at 9/4, particularly with Brentford drawing both semi-final legs with Swindon.
The Gaelic Football season kicks in to full swing this weekend with National League Division One champions Dublin the initial favourites to win the 2013 All-Ireland Senior Football Championship for the 24th time. On paper, the Dubs have the best starting XV in the country, with their blend of youth and experience shining through en route to the 2013 league title earlier this year, and they're good value to secure a Leinster and Sam Maguire double at around 9/2.
That bet may not be settled until as late as September 22nd of this year, so if you're not in it for the long-term it's best to turn your attention to the individual province markets, with Tyrone good value to win the Ulster title at 11/4. Notoriously hard to beat, Mickey Harte's men are outsiders at 10/1 to win the All-Ireland, the main event, but their experience should warrant a small value stake on the latter.
As the Dublin media build up their team's chances of a double, a little team in the west of Ireland are turning heads. Leitrim are 22/1 to win the Connacht Championship, an excellent value bet which could recoup some returns if you go each-way. Captained by expert free-taker Emlyn Mulligan, a Gardai officer and former Sligo Rovers footballer, Leitrim won the FBD Insurance League in January and have already advanced to the semi-finals of the Connacht Championship.
They are expected to come up against Sligo (11/2) in the semis and that will be no easy task, but they're on the right side of the draw with favourites Mayo (10/11) and Galway (7/2) on the opposite side. They'll have to beat one or the other if they're to claim the title, though, but it's certainly not out of the question if they can overcome a beatable Sligo team, so invest in Leitrim at 22/1, a price too good to overlook.
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