Friday 15 March 2013 19:55, UK
So we're already at the final weekend of a Six Nations tournament that has thrown up so many more questions than it has answers. How did Italy thump France, crumble to the Scots and come close to defeating England?
Round 4 finished with Italy upbeat after pushing England, and Ireland on their knees after the stalemate with France. And it is a familiar tale for Ireland this season - since their brilliant first half in Cardiff, Declan Kidney's side have made a habit of falling short, losing to England by six, Scotland by four and drawing with France. They have not been great, but they've not been as bad as things might seem. On paper it is still a strong outfit, if a little weary after last weekend, but they are a side who should expect to beat Italy. The Azzuri certainly ran England closer than most expected, but it was more through Red Rose ambivalence rather than Italian brilliance. They do pose dangers with the likes of Giovanbattista Venditti (100/30 a/t), Andrea Masi (7/2 a/t) and obviously Sergio Parisse (7/2 a/t) all capable of troubling Ireland's defence. But Declan Kidney has stuck the lively Craig Gilroy straight back in on the wing (17/2 first try scorer) and I also like the heavy duty ball carrying of Sean O'Brien (7/2 a/t) and Cian Healy (11/2 a/t) - both Lions candidates who are after big last rounds. However, if you do believe in fairy tales, how about Brian O'Driscoll to round off this campaign and possibly his Ireland career with the last try at 10/1? Smiles all round if that is to be the case, and I'm going with Ireland by 6-10 at a boosted 5/1.