Sky Bet's Jordan Fiddes tells us where the smart money will be going on this weekend's action
By Jordan Fiddes - Twitter: @SkyJordanFiddes
Last Updated: 22/03/13 12:16pm
It seems that this season's Super League showcases are alternating between one-sided walkovers and gripping, gritty, clashes.
Last weekend, the two televised games had only a two-point gap at half-time, whereas the week before both were virtually over by the interval.
I'm expecting this weekend's broadcasted battles to follow the trend and highlight the gulf in class between the top and bottom halves of the table.
Saturday evening sees Widnes travel to the DW Stadium, live on Sky Sports 2HD, looking for their first win at the ground since 2003.
It's a tough task for the Vikings as the Warriors are likely to welcome Man of Steel Sam Tomkins back into the side after he had to sit out last week's loss to Leeds due to a dead leg picked up in training.
Wigan have a phenomenal win ratio when Tomkins is in the side compared to when he is missing, in fact they have only won one game when he has been missing.
The Warriors full-back is 4/7 to score anytime on Saturday and that's the first part of this weekend's double. Tomkins has scored five tries in as many appearances this season and averaged more than a try a game in 27 outings last year.
In this fixture in 2012, Wigan ran out comfortable 54-12 winners and Tomkins crossed for the final score.
He'll be a lot fresher this time out as well, after missing the loss at the Rhinos, so expect him to touch down early on. If you are feeling ambitious, the Cherry and Whites full-back is 7/1 to open the scoring.
Rovers to be rampant
In Sunday's live offering, it's a clash of two teams struggling for form with Castleford travelling east to face Hull KR.
The Robins have beaten Cas in the last six meetings at Craven Park and have won their last two home games this season.
Castleford are yet to win on the road in 2013 and have conceded an average of over 43 points per game away from the Wish Communications Stadium this season.
For that reason the 14-point handicap given to Hull KR looks very appealing to me.
In this fixture last year, the Rovers won 70-12 and ran in 12 tries in the process.
The Tigers only managed two wins away from home in Super League XVII and look destined for a similar record this year.
The fact that the last time Castleford won at Craven Park was in the Regal Trophy, a competition which has not run since 1996, simply highlights the Robins' dominance in this fixture.
View from the Sky Bet trading room...
"With Gareth Hock unavailable for Widnes on Saturday, the handicap of +28 has risen over the past few days as the punters were taking advantage of the early +22 handicap.
"Pat Richards is popular for the first try at 15/2 as he will move to the wing with Tomkins' impending return.
"Also on Saturday, the price of Bradford at 7/2 to win outright has proved popular. The Bulls are the form team in Super League of late and have risen to third in the table after losing just once in their last five games."