This is an ultra competitive handicap sprint where last time out winner Jaconet will have his supporters but we'll instead take a chance with SANDWITH while Blue Tomato could get into the prize money at a bigger price. The pick has a great strike rate here scoring three times from nine starts over the minimum trip. He only missed out by a head in similar conditions last time and while he's up three pounds for that he can go well on these terms. Joconet was an easy winner last time at Wolverhampton but this represents a step up in class making the eight pounds extra on his back a significant penalty. Blue Tomato has been on excellent form on the all weather scene this winter and having taken a better race than this off a higher mark in similar conditions on turf last summer there is every chance his recent runs can be continued here. Rothesay Dancer would probably want the ground a little slower while Le Toreador should challenge off a mark just a pound higher than his last time out course and distance near miss. You could probably make a case for several others here as well but the strongest chance seems to belong to Sandwith.
Cape Vale (IRE) 7-2fav (9-0) Off the pace on outer, hung right throughout, reminders 3f out, never on terms, 9th of 12, 11l behind Piscean (8-3) at Goodwood 5f 3yo hcp (3) gf in Aug.
Harlech Castle 3-1fav (8-10) Held up mid division, weakened over 2f out, eased from well over 1f out, last of 9, well behind Fyodor (9-4) at Great Leighs 6f hcp (3) pol in Nov.
Nickel Silver 9-4fav (9-2) Led, ridden and pressed inside final f, caught final strides, 3rd of 9, hd behind Chjimes (8-10) at Lingfield 5f hcap (4) pol in Jan.
Blue Tomato 10-3 (9-1) Slowly into stride, behind, headway well over 1f out, ridden and hung left over 1f out, kept on to take 3rd inside final furlong, 3rd of 6, 2 3/4l behind Desperate Dan (9-0) at Wolverhampton 5f clm stks (5) pol.
Le Toreador 20-1 (8-11) Led, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, no extra, 2nd of 13, 2l behind Roker Park (9-1) at Musselburgh 5f hcap (4) sft in Nov.
Jaconet (USA) 7-4fav (9-4) Made virtually all, clear over 2f out, ridden out final furlong, unchallenged, won at Wolverhampton 6f fll hcp (0-75) (5) pol in Mar beating Leading Edge (9-4) by 4l, 6 ran.
Highland Warrior 50-1 (8-6) Slowly into stride, in rear, ridden halfway, soon outpaced, kept on, never dangerous, 6th of 9, 5l behind Ten Down (8-10) at Lingfield 5f hcp 0-75 (5) pol in Mar.
Steelcut 5-1 (9-2) Held up behind, headway over 1f out, went 3rd inside final furlong, ran on, nearest finish, 3rd of 9, 3 1/2l behind Even Bolder (9-7) at Sandown 5f hcap (5) gf in Aug.
Silvanus (IRE) 11-2 (8-9) Raced freely, soon led, headed just inside final furlong, weakened, 7th of 11, 4 1/2l behind Northern Dare (9-4) at Wolverhampton 5f hcp 0-85 (4) pol in Mar.
Rothesay Dancer 25-1 (7-13) Held up towards rear, raced keenly, headway inside final furlong, ran on well, not reached winner, 2nd of 11, nk behind Northern Dare (9-4) at Wolverhampton 5f hcp 0-85 (4) pol in Mar.
Sandwith 4-1fav (9-4) Tracked winner, challenged 2f out, ridden over 1f out, kept on and every chance, held towards finish, 2nd of 12, hd behind Nomoreblondes (9-0) at Musselburgh 5f hcp 0-70 (5) gf.
Mandurah (IRE) 6-1 (8-9) Chased leaders, ridden over 2f out, one pace, 4th of 7, 3 1/2l behind Almaty Express (8-9) at Wolverhampton 5f hcp 0-80 (4) pol in Mar.
Brut 25-1 (8-7) Chased leaders, ridden over 1f out, weakened final furlong, 8th of 12, 6l behind Nomoreblondes (9-0) at Musselburgh 5f hcp 0-70 (5) gf.
Seafield Towers 66-1 (9-13) Mid-divison, weakened halfway, last of 14, 28l behind Tenancy (9-12) at Musselburgh 5f am hcp (6) sft in Nov.