The bottom pair look outclassed and Ernest Hemingway has been declared doubtful as has Mount Athos, who won this a year ago. This leaves HILLSTAR, who beat Battle Of Marengo to land the King Edward VII Stakes at Royal Ascot before running exclusively at Group 1 level, with little left to beat. He went to Dubai earlier this season where he ran poorly in the World Cup but he is smart and should win good races this season. His main rival is Brown Panther, who runs in the colours of Michael Owen and is smart on his day.
Brown Panther 14-1 (8-9) 8th of 24, 7l behind Fiorente (8-9) at Flemington(AUS) 2m Grp 1 hcp (1) gd in Nov.
Ernest Hemingway (IRE) 7-1 (9-0) 8th of 15, 4 1/2l behind Certerach (9-0) at Meydan(UAE) 2m Grp 2 (1) gd in Mar.
Hillstar 14-1 (9-0) 14th of 16, 20l behind African Story (9-0) at Meydan(UAE) 1m 2f fll stks Grp 1 (1) in Mar.
Mount Athos (IRE) 16-1 (9-0) 8th of 15, 3l behind Gentildonna (8-9) at Meydan(UAE) 1m 4f Grp 1 (1) gd in Mar.
Banoffee (IRE) 25-1 (9-0) last of 6, 8l behind L'amour De Ma Vie (9-0) at Meydan(UAE) 1m 1f Grp 2 flls gd in Feb.
Jathabah (IRE) 16-1 (8-11) Raced far side, led overall until over 3f out, ridden and headed over 2f out, weakened over 1f out, 9th of 11, 11l behind Sound Hearts (9-2) at Newmarket 1m 2f fll lst stks (1) gf in Oct.