Gratzie was only beaten a length at Ascot on her debut and not beaten far on her second start over 7f at Kempton. But LIKELIHOOD reversed the form of that initial Ascot run on the second occasion and also finished ahead of Manderley. She looks the more progressive of the trio and this extra furlong should be right up her street. Lady Red Oak ran very well at Haydock in June but didn't replicate that effort at Warwick last month and has a bit to prove now.
Cameley Dawn 100-1 (8-9) Close up, ridden over 2f out, soon weakened, 10th of 11, 29l behind Barley Mow (9-5) at Newbury 7f 2yo mdn (4) gd.
Gratzie 8-1 (9-0) Disputing 5th on inside, headway over 1f out, stayed on well in closing stages, 4th of 14, 1 1/4l behind Tender Emotion (9-0) at Kempton 7f 2yo mdn fll (5) pol.
Habdab 20-1 (9-0) Held up in touch, weakened 2f out, eased over 1f out, last of 5, 18l behind Anglophile (9-5) at Brighton 7f 2yo mdn (5) gf.
Hallbeck Halling filly out of Goslar.
Indie Star 50-1 (8-2) Towards rear, some headway over 1f out, never on terms, 7th of 12, 17l behind Clever Miss (8-7) at Wolverhampton 7f 2yo mdn auc stks (5) pol in Jul.
Lady Red Oak 11-2 (9-0) Mid-division, plugged on inside final furlong, 6th of 11, 13l behind Chriselliam (9-0) at Warwick 7f 2yo mdn aut (5) gf in Jul.
Likelihood (USA) 7-4fav (9-0) Took keen hold, held up disputing 5th, pushed along and edged right over and unable to quicken over 2f out, edged right under pressure over 1f out, ridden and stayed on to 2nd close home, finished well, 2nd of 14, 1/2l behind Tender Emotion (9-0) at Kempton 7f 2yo mdn fll (5) pol.
Manderley 9-2 (9-0) Tracked leaders, effort on inside to 2nd over 2f out, chased winner and every chance inside final furlong, one pace in 3rd close home, 3rd of 14, 1l behind Tender Emotion (9-0) at Kempton 7f 2yo mdn fll (5) pol.
Satin Waters 50-1 (9-0) Towards rear and pushed along, weakened over 2f out, 16th of 17, 24l behind Amazing Maria (9-0) at Goodwood 7f 2yo stks (2) gd.
Scottish Academy 20-1 (9-0) Slowly away, ran green in rear, never a factor, 9th of 10, 11l behind Chesturo (9-0) at Thirsk 7f 2yo stks (4) gf in Jul.
Touche De Rouge (IRE) 40-1 (8-4) Slowly away, ran green and always in rear, last of 6, 16l behind Our Queenie (8-9) at Salisbury 6f nov med aut stk (5) gf in Jul.