Despite their success in the Heineken Cup, Munster have been really unlucky when it comes to the semi-finals.
On Song
Ian Keatley will need to be on song with the boot - Munster will need to kick everything that they get. His stats for the Heineken Cup are not particularly good but in the last few games he has got back to his old rhythm where he was one of the most consistent goal-kickers around.
We have seen Munster try and run a lot of their ball from inside their own half and I think it is imperative that they do not do that. They do have some good strike runners but I don't think their skills are quite up to scratch to play that sort of game in a cauldron like Marseilles. It's a matter of fronting up physically, putting the pressure on and controlling possession. Look for territory - all low risk stuff. Then when they do get an opportunity inside the 22, then suck in players and go wide.
Beaten up
Despite urging Munster to play their old traditional game I still think that they will need to score a try or two and not just rely on Keatley's boot. That means that both wingers will have to be at their best. Simon Zebo is full of confidence while Keith Earls is not quite at his best yet. Both are still lethal runners and will need to make the most of the few chances that will come their way. But they shouldn't go wide until they have something on - if they do then they will just getting beaten up out wide.
Munster have a lot of inner-belief and a tight game will really suit them. Toulon are a tough team to break and they have that big match temperament - yes they have lost a few that they should have won but they turn up when it really matters and this game really matters. Toulon are the favourites by a long way, but that is just how Munster like it!
Watch Toulon v Munster live on Sky Sports 2 from 3pm on Sunday
