Racing UK's Lydia Hislop nominates three to follow at Goodwood
Last Updated: July 29, 2013 2:52pm
Velox: Remains handily treated and can atone for a luckless defeat
Racing UK's Lydia Hislop nominates her three handicappers to follow at Glorious Goodwood.
The draw isn't pretty but Nabucco is one of only a handful of horses in Tuesday's Bet365.com Stakes that are still improving. He was well positioned, admittedly, when winning at Newmarket last time but he was already on an upward curve and the manner of his victory was ultimately emphatic.
Showers are forecast at Goodwood and the more rain falls, the better for this horse who has quite a rounded action. William Buick is going to have to be at his best to offset stall 17 but the likelihood of a lot of pace in the race will help him.
Were Strictly Silver drawn better than Nabucco, he would be a bigger threat but he's in the same boat in stall 18. He probably didn't stay 12 furlongs in the Old Newton Cup last time and would have finished closer to Nabucco had he not been stuck in a pocket at Newmarket and forced to concede the winner first run. He's worth a saver here.
Great Timing started her season relatively late, only last month, but has been making up for lost time. She first chased home Estiqaama at Sandown, eight lengths clear of the third and yet a performance underestimated by the official handicapper; she was only 5lb higher when winning at Newmarket last time.
A furlong further is likely to bring about more improvement and her ability to handle the undulations of both Newmarket courses will stand her in good stead for Goodwood.
She can provide Charlie Appleby, former assistant to the disgraced Mahmood Al Zarooni, with a high-profile success in his first days holding the licence at Godolphin's Moulton Paddocks stables. Improving and unbeaten Ribbons is the chief danger, although she will have to manage without her usual pilot, Hayley Turner, who broke her ankle at Yarmouth last Thursday.
Velox should have won both of his last two starts, but last time he instead got stuck behind a wall of horses going less well than him - the cushion-throwingly predictable outcome of resolutely hold-up, rail-hugging rides in competitive races at flat tracks like Haydock.
When Kieren Fallon eventually switched him round most of the field, Double Discount - an improver himself - had gained an unassailable first run, despite Velox making up a remarkable amount of ground inside the final furlong. A 5lb rise still leaves Velox on a handy mark and his experience at Leicester will help for Goodwood.
An extra furlong is an unknown but nothing in his performances suggests he won't handle it. Let's just hope he's switched outside for an uninterrupted run in a more timely fashion this time.