Wednesday 11 September 2013 11:21, UK
A preview, stats and tips for this week's FedEx Cup play-off event - the BMW Championship.
Steve Stricker (22/1): See the stats below and Stricker's scoring average is the best in the field over the last 10 events. Playing a lighter schedule has certainly agreed with him and his last five finishes read 8-10-13-12-2. That runners-up finish in the Deutsche Bank confirmed his reputation as someone who thrives at this time of year - he even has the nickname "Mr September" - and he also loves Illinois after three wins in the John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run. Has to be on the shortlist of punters this week.
CURRENT FORM on PGA TOUR
Last Ten Weeks
Player: 1 / 2 / 3 / 4 / 5 / 6 / 7 / 8 / 9 / 10
Sang-Moon Bae: / MC / - / - / - / 31 / 53 / MC / 52 / MC / MC
Jonas Blixt: / MC / Won / MC / 26 / - / 59 / 4 / - / 58 / 53
Keegan Bradley: / - / - / 61 / 15 / - / 2 / 19 / - / 33 / 16
Angel Cabrera: / 13 / - / - / 11 / - / 38 / Wd / - / MC / 76
Roberto Castro: / 2 / MC / 68 / - / 6 / - / 12 / MC / 25 / 9
Kevin Chappell: / 28 / 41 / - / - / 68 / - / MC / 73 / 15 / 22
Brian Davis: / 8 / 30 / 33 / MC / MC / - / - / MC / MC / 8
Jason Day: / 21 / - / - / 32 / - / 53 / 8 / - / 25 / 13
Brendon de Jonge: / MC / 17 / 54 / 46 / - / - / 33 / 52 / 19 / 9
Graham DeLaet: / 8 / 30 / - / - / MC / - / MC / - / 2 / 3
Luke Donald: / - / - / - / MC / MC / 9 / MC / - / 41 / 41
Jason Dufner: / - / - / - / 26 / - / 4 / Won / - / 37 / 9
Ken Duke: / 52 / MC / 48 / 64 / - / 65 / 57 / - / MC / MC
Ernie Els: / - / - / - / 26 / 21 / 48 / MC / 20 / MC / 20
Harris English: / 34 / - / 15 / 15 / - / 14 / 61 / - / MC / 27
Matt Every: / MC / 38 / - / 35 / 28 / - / MC / 5 / 9 / 62
Rickie Fowler: / 21 / - / - / MC / - / 21 / 19 / - / 9 / MC
Jim Furyk: / 44 / - / - / MC / 9 / 9 / 2 / - / 6 / 27
Sergio Garcia: / - / - / - / 21 / - / 40 / 61 / 29 / 37 / 4
Brian Gay: / - / MC / 61 / - / 73 / 63 / MC / - / 43 / 27
Bill Haas: / Won / 9 / - / MC / - / 7 / 25 / 20 / 25 / MC
David Hearn: / 44 / MC / 2 / - / 44 / - / 47 / - / 72 / 35
Russell Henley: / 34 / 30 / - / 73 / - / 27 / MC / - / MC / 62
Charley Hoffman: / 28 / - / MC / - / 16 / - / 40 / - / 70 / 27
Billy Horschel: / 61 / 30 / - / MC / 68 / 44 / MC / - / MC / 70
Charles Howell III: / MC / MC / 33 / 26 / - / - / MC / Dq / 33 / 53
John Huh: / 28 / - / MC / MC / MC / - / MC / 3 / 15 / 22
Dustin Johnson: / - / - / - / 32 / 2 / 33 / 8 / - / MC / 27
Zach Johnson: / - / - / 2 / 6 / - / 4 / 8 / 5 / - / 27
Matt Jones: / 64 / 2 / 7 / - / - / - / 40 / 5 / 33 / MC
Chris Kirk: / MC / - / 22 / 9 / 21 / - / 57 / 65 / MC / 16
Jason Kokrak: / 3 / 41 / - / - / 31 / - / MC / MC / 9 / 73
Matt Kuchar: / - / - / - / 15 / 2 / 27 / 22 / - / 19 / 4
Marc Leishman: / MC / - / - / MC / - / - / 12 / - / 71 / 16
David Lynn: / - / - / - / MC / - / 53 / 22 / MC / 19 / MC
Hunter Mahan: / MC / - / - / 9 / Wd / - / 57 / - / 25 / 13
Graeme McDowell: / - / - / - / 58 / MC* / 40 / 12 / - / MC / 47
Rory McIlroy: / - / - / - / MC / - / 27 / 8 / - / 19 / 47
John Merrick: / MC / - / - / - / 6 / 19 / 47 / - / 50 / 53
Phil Mickelson: / - / MC / - / Won / - / 21 / 72 / - / 6 / 41
Bryce Molder: / 61 / 17 / 27 / - / - / MC / - / 16 / 25 / 41
Ryan Moore: / - / - / 22 / 32 / - / 33 / 55 / - / 25 / 75
Scott Piercy: / - / MC / - / MC / 52 / 59 / 5 / - / 43 / 13
DA Points: / - / 54 / MC / MC / - / 59 / 40 / - / 6 / MC
Ian Poulter: / - / - / - / 3 / - / 19 / 61 / - / MC / 9
Patrick Reed: / 34 / MC / 7 / - / 9 / - / - / Won / MC / 70
Justin Rose: / - / - / - / MC / - / 17 / 33 / - / 2 / 16
Rory Sabbatini: / Wd / 9 / MC / 17 / 12 / 7 / - / 8 / 13 / 53
Charl Schwartzel: / - / - / - / 15 / 28 / 21 / MC / - / 25 / 22
Adam Scott: / 57 / - / - / 3 / - / 14 / 5 / - / Won / 53
Webb Simpson: / - / 41 / - / 64 / - / 14 / 25 / 11 / 15 / 53
Brandt Snedeker: / 8 / - / - / 11 / Won / 33 / 66 / MC / MC / 47
Jordan Spieth: / 6 / 23 / Won / 44 / - / - / MC / 2 / 19 / 4
Kevin Stadler: / - / - / 27 / - / MC / 32 / MC / MC / 43 / 4
Scott Stallings: / MC / 23 / MC / MC / MC / - / 55 / - / MC / 35
Brendan Steele: / 16 / 41 / MC / - / 68 / 4 / - / 11 / MC / 20
Henrik Stenson: / - / - / - / 2 / - / 2 / 3 / - / 43 / Won
Kevin Streelman: / - / - / 44 / 79 / - / 59 / 12 / - / 19 / 41
Steve Stricker: / - / - / 10 / - / - / 13 / 12 / - / - / 2
Chris Stroud: / 28 / - / - / 9 / MC / - / MC / 37 / 33 / 35
Daniel Summerhays: / MC / 9 / 4 / 2 / MC / - / - / MC / 15 / 22
Michael Thompson: / - / - / - / MC / - / 21 / 22 / - / MC / 53
Nicholas Thompson: / 28 / MC / 12 / 4 / 28 / - / - / 72 / 50 / 22
Jimmy Walker: / MC / 2 / - / MC / - / - / MC / MC / 54 / MC
Nick Watney: / 61 / 23 / 27 / MC / - / 44 / MC / MC / 9 / 35
Bubba Watson: / - / 30 / - / 32 / 21 / 27 / MC / - / 13 / 67
Boo Weekley: / - / MC / 27 / 58 / - / 33 / 12 / 37 / 58 / 35
Lee Westwood: / - / - / - / 3 / - / 40 / 33 / - / 25 / 27
Gary Woodland: / 16 / 62 / 48 / - / 61 / Won / 74 / - / 2 / 41
Tiger Woods: / - / - / - / 6 / - / Won / 40 / - / 2 / 65
MC* = Missed Additional 54-Hole Cut
Course Key: 1 - Congressional; 2 - The Greenbrier; 3 - TPC Deere Run; 4 - Muirfield/Annandale; 5 - Glen Abbey; 6 - Firestone/Montreux **; 7 - Oak Hill; 8 - Sedgefield; 9 - Liberty National; 10 - TPC Boston
Note: ** - Montreux (hosted 72-hole Stableford tournament)
LOWEST 20 STROKE AVERAGES
(Last 10 Weeks on PGA Tour)
Average (Rounds)
67.94: Steve Stricker (16)
68.54: Zach Johnson (24)
68.75: Henrik Stenson (20)
69.03: Jordan Spieth (30)
69.19: Daniel Summerhays (26)
69.23: Rory Sabbatini (26)
69.30: Graham DeLaet (20)
69.35: Jason Dufner (20)
69.36: Roberto Castro (28)
69.38: Bryce Molder (24)
69.45: Tiger Woods (20)
69.46: Patrick Reed (24)
69.53: Brendon de Jonge (30)
69.54: Bill Haas (28)
69.54: Matt Jones (26)
69.63: Keegan Bradley (24)
69.63: Nicholas Thompson (30)
69.69: Jim Furyk (26)
69.71: Matt Kuchar (24)
69.71: Matt Every (28)
Min. No. of Rounds = 16
Conway Farms: Par 71; 7,216 yards
Conclusion
The decision to go virtually part-time has worked extremely well for Steve Stricker and after garnering three second places from his 11 starts this season he's ready to win.
The American has some wonderful stats to his name (second in Greens In Regulation, second in Scoring Average, second in the All-Around ranking and first in Par 4 Performance) and they suggest a victory is on the way.
Add in his past achievements in Illinois and superb record at this time of year and all the planets are aligned for the 12-time Tour winner.
Snap up the 22/1.
The stat about four of the six FedEx Cup play-off series producing multiple winners is an interesting one and shows that players can often stay hot.
Tiger Woods won two of the four events in 2007 and that's been repeated by Vijay Singh (2008), Camilo Villegas (2008) and Rory McIlroy (2012).
Adam Scott (Barclays winner) and Henrik Stenson (Deutsche Bank winner) are the two who could add to that record this year and preference is for the Aussie, who is the subject of a Sky Bet price boost (14/1).
Scott still has his eyes on Player of the Year and probably still needs a win or two given that Tiger has five victories to his two (even though one of Scott's was a major).
Finally, have a little play on Roberto Castro to be the first round leader.
The improving American topped the leaderboard after an opening 63 in January's Humana Challenge, repeated the feat with a 63 at Sawgrass and finished as first round leader for the third time in 2013 after a 66 in the AT&T National.
He was fourth after a round one 65 in Boston last time out so loves flying out of the blocks.
Castro is 66/1 to take the day one honours again this time.
Best bets
2.5pts e.w. Steve Stricker at 22/1 (1/4 1,2,3,4,5)
3pts win Adam Scott at 14/1 (Priceboost)
1pt e.w. Roberto Castro to be first round leader at 66/1 (1/4 1,2,3,4,5)