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A single goal will be enough for Spain to beat Italy, says Smith

Image: Celebrate: Spain Under-21s will reign again, says Smith

I don't think anyone will be surprised if the Spain Under-21 side follow the seniors and win the European Championships.

That is all easier said than done though because the one thing Italy have to do - and do it consistently - is get the ball. And keep it. We have all seen the Spain side produce some great football throughout this tournament but their semi-final win over Norway was as good as we've seen. They created so many chances and, but for a top showing from the Norwegian keeper, they could have scored a hatful. Isco was an absolute diamond in that game and has probably peaked at the perfect time. He is clearly the dangerman. How Italy stop him I'm not sure but I remember that Russia, earlier on in the competition, man-marked him and he couldn't get into the game. I wonder whether if Italy would consider something like that. When I did see Isco kept quiet and unable to create chances it was the best I have seen Thiago Alcántara so far. He has been fairly quiet and coming from Barcelona we thought he would come and stamp his authority over this tournament, but he hasn't. Yet, he could well respond in this final and what better stage for him to show Barcelona - and maybe some other clubs around Europe - just what he can do. He can't be taken for granted.
Compact
This Spain side is not a mirror image of Barcelona. Yes, they can pass and will pass, but when they are going forward it is not all about that. They do get behind teams, with Rodrigo playing on the last line and making breaks down the channels. Not only does that give them pace it pushes teams back and makes it harder for teams to stay compact and close them down as they move the ball around. Rodrigo gives them a great option and he is a good goalscorer as we saw in the semi-final, so his battle with those two centre-halves, Bianchetti and Caldirola, will be fascinating. They work so well together and communicate so well and Spain will need Rodrigo to get the better of them, if they are going to have it all their way. That togetherness runs through the Italian team and I have noticed a great team spirit before games so far, never mind during them, so who knows, it might well be Italy's year. Let's be honest, at senior level we have seen Spain fail when we expected them to win big tournaments and we have also seen Italy come from nowhere, as the dark horses, and lift the trophy. But this Spain side have so many good players, a system they know so well and an understanding throughout this under-21 squad. Like most of you, I am expecting the favourites to come through because Italy need everything going their way. They need that defence to stand firm, they need their counter-attacking to work and they need Spain to have an off-day. ALAN'S PREDICTION: I don't think it's going to be dull but there is only going to be the odd goal in it. I am going to stick with Spain, 1-0.

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