Numbers Game

The Potteries pair Stoke (10/11) and Port Vale (15/8) are the Numbers Game's headline picks this week to see off QPR and Southend respectively.

Stoke: Backed to win against QPR

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West Brom's Monday night win over Southampton (4/5) made it four wins from the last five Banker selections in the Numbers Game. However, the Value Bet has been struggling of late and Fulham (13/8) failed to deliver at the weekend, but there was an 12/5 winner in the form of Bury in Famous Last Words to leave that section well in profit for the season.

This week Stoke are the Banker and neighbours Port Vale the Value Bet to win at Southend, while there are some interesting views from the bookies. And there are 12/5, 9/5, 5/4 and 1/1 picks from the in-form Famous Last Words and Treatment Room.


VALUE BET

Port Vale to win at Southend at 15/8

Vale have won five of their eight away games on the road and with just one defeat in eight League Two matches they are in decent form. Micky Adams' men have shown promotion-winning form of late and they look great value to see off a Shrimpers side who have won just three of their eight home fixtures and who recently lost at home to lowly Aldershot.

STEAMERS

Sky Bet say there have been no massive moves of any note. As you would expect we have seen plenty of money on the big four teams at odds on (Arsenal, Man City, Man Utd & Chelsea). I quite like the look of Chelsea at 10/11 and our two best lays out of them have to be City and Arsenal.

WHO'S HOT

Man Utd (1/2) won last four Premier League games and travel to Aston Villa (5/1) (5.30pm).

Crystal Palace (5/4) won last three Championship games and travel to Peterborough (2/1).

Hull (11/4) won last three Championship games and travel to Cardiff (1/1).

Sheffield United (13/5) unbeaten in 16 League One games and travel to MK Dons (21/20).

WHO'S NOT

Southampton (11/8) lost last three Premier League games and host Swansea (9/5).

Bristol C (7/5) lost last six Championship games and host Charlton (9/5) (Sun).

Barnsley (6/4) lost last three Championship games and host Huddersfield (17/10).

L Orient (11/8) lost last four League One games and host Shrewsbury (19/10).

Portsmouth (21/10) lost last three League One games and travel to Bury (5/4).

Bristol R (6/4) lost last three League Two games and host Chesterfield (7/4).

Plymouth (11/4) lost last three League Two games and host Gillingham (1/1).

TRADERS' VIEW

Sky Bet: You would have to be very brave to trust Arsenal at 1/2 at the moment and Fulham have looked more than capable this season and will fancy their chances at The Emirates.

While Spurs have produced some great performances away from home this season not least of which at Old Trafford for a great win. Roberto Mancini is under massive pressure at Manchester City and this looks a tough test for them and we are happy to get them in the book at 8/15.

MK Dons have been smashed into 21/20 at home to League One leaders Sheffield Utd after opening at 6/5 last week, while Bournemouth are now 11/8 from 13/8 to get another victory under Eddie Howe at Doncaster.

BOGEY TEAMS

Fulham (5/1) have never won away at Arsenal (1/2) in any competition, losing 22 and drawing four of 26 visits.

Everton (4/9) have won 11 and lost none of their last 15 Premier League games v Sunderland (13/2).

Aston Villa (5/1) have won one of the last 33 Premier League meetings v Manchester United (1/2).

Liverpool (3/1) have lost only two of their last 11 Premier League games v Chelsea (10/11) (Sun, 4pm).

BANKER

Stoke to beat QPR at 10/11

The Potters are a team in style transition with Tony Pulis now looking for his side to place the emphasis on patient passing. The new style has yet to pay dividends, but it's only early days, and QPR are unlikely to press too much at the Britannia. Stoke are unbeaten at home in four matches - but their only win came against Swansea and they can make it two wins against a struggling R's side.

HOT-SHOTS

Burnley's Charlie Austin is Europe's top goalscorer and he is decent value at 7/2 to score first at Ipswich.

New Huddersfield striker Simon Church is 2/1 to score at Barnsley, who tried to sign him.

Norwich's Grant Holt is 12/5 to score against Reading.

TREATMENT ROOM

Charlton to win at Bristol City at 9/5 (Sun)

Bristol City duo Stephen McManus and Cole Skuse are set for six weeks on the sidelines and will miss Sunday's home clash with Charlton. McManus, on loan from Middlesbrough, has strained ligaments while Skuse will undergo surgery shortly on a fractured cheekbone - both sustained their injuries in Tuesday night's 2-0 defeat at Birmingham.

Dagenham to beat Rotherham at 12/5

The Millers' treatment room is jam-packed at the minute with Scott Shearer (knee), Lionel Ainsworth (shoulder), Dale Tonge (ankle) and David Noble (hamstring) all long-term absentees. They have been joined by Kari Arnason, who is a doubt with a shoulder injury, while on-loan winger Jamie Devitt has returned to his parent club Hull for treatment on a hamstring injury.

Manchester United (-1) to beat Aston Villa at 5/4

Villa left-back Eric Lichaj will be banned after picking up his fifth yellow card of the campaign during the 1-0 win at Sunderland. Fellow left-back Joe Bennett is struggling to overcome a knee injury. Striker Darren Bent is again absent with his ankle injury.

FAMOUS LAST WORDS

Brighton to win at Wolves at 9/5

Speaking after the midweek 1-0 win over Peterborough, Brighton boss Gus Poyet said: "I hope this win can be a turning point. It's up to us. We have got two difficult away games now [Wolves and Huddersfield] and we must keep believing. In the second half it was all about us. We had 32 shots and scored one goal. But the key to it was we didn't concede a goal so we won the game. If you don't concede it gives you the chance of winning."

Morecambe to beat Barnet at 1/1

After the midweek goalless draw against Accrington, Morecambe manager Jim Bentley said: "After some of the saves that Ian Dunbavin pulled off in both halves, when you get a penalty in injury time, you think he's had that good a night that he'll probably save this as well. He pulled off an outstanding save to cap what was a world-class performance."

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