England bowling coach David Saker has revealed the third-seamer slot for the first Test has been more or less decided.
The squad arrived in Brisbane for the Ashes opener this week with support for new-ball bowlers James Anderson and Stuart Broad still up in the air.
Chris Tremlett is thought to be favourite after he was rested for the final warm-up match against an Australian Invitational XI, where neither Steven Finn nor Boyd Rankin built a solid case for inclusion.
And Saker admits the minds of the selectors have been made up - although that could change over the next few days.
"I think we're pretty clear in our minds where we're going to go," he said. "There's a few more days to go. I'm not going to announce who's going to play.
"But we're confident where we are...we're pretty clear who we're going to pick, and we'll go from there."
All is not entirely lost for the two contenders currently out in the cold, however, as Saker concedes that net practice on Tuesday or even Wednesday could just about conceivably cause a late rethink.
"There probably is a chance that it would be up for grabs, but we're pretty clear. If someone wants to jump the queue, they've got a couple of days to do that."
Whoever gets the nod will bring with him pros and cons, and is likely to find himself put under pressure by hosts trying to spot a weak link as England seek a fourth successive Ashes series win.
Saker added: "Teams might target certain players on our team, but we pride ourselves as a group to do the job really well.
"I know as a bowling group we'll put pressure on them. If they do want to come after our bowlers, good luck to them - if they're good enough to do that.
"But if they're doing that, there's a good chance we'll get some chances."
The opening Ashes Test gets under way on Sky Sports 2 HD from 11pm on Wednesday.