Sky Bet's Jamie Casey previews 'The One', and its undercard, ahead of a huge weekend.
Saturday 14 September 2013 13:43, UK
Sky Bet's Jamie Casey previews 'The One' and its undercard ahead of a huge weekend of boxing.
Floyd Mayweather and Saul 'Canelo' Alvarez are expected to break pay-per-view records in the most eagerly awaited fight of the decade this weekend and online bookmaker Sky Bet are braced for an influx of bets on the bout. Dubbed 'The One', both fighters are undefeated with Mayweather the favourite having dominated the welterweight division for some time, though there's a growing belief that this match-up may represent a passing of the torch. Despite only being 23, Alvarez holds a record of 43-0-1 to Mayweather's 44-0, with the young Mexican boasting 30 knockouts to the American's 26. The draw on his pro record came against compatriot Jorge Juarez when aged just 15. 'Canelo' is disciplined, powerful and mentally very strong, so this promises to be Mayweather's biggest test since his 2007 bout with Oscar De La Hoya, the only man to have ever come close to beating 'Money' having narrowly lost out on a split decision. Indeed, it was that bout which set the current pay-per-view record and with De La Hoya now promoting Alvarez, 'The One' has added spice as a fresh fighter from a new generation attempts to achieve what no other before him has managed. Alvarez is no stranger to the unknown, though, having dropped highly-rated Austin Trout for the first time in his career in his last display, a fight in which he sacrificed his defence in order to throw more power punches. Such a game-plan would surely play into the hands of the elusive Mayweather, but it did show the Mexican's ability to adapt to a ring situation. If he is to remain unbeaten he must target the body of Mayweather and make the 36-year-old feel the age difference, but all the while leading off his jab. Alvarez is strong with his uppercut on the inside but he'll want to avoid getting drawn in too close to his opponent as he has been known to cut from head clashes, and you can be sure Mayweather will take full advantage of any such misfortune. But it's that powerful left hook to the body that is likely to cause more bother for Mayweather than any other - a punch Alvarez dropped Josesito Lopez with twice inside three rounds a year ago to the date of this fight. From a betting perspective, sitting on the fence may pay dividends, with either fighter to win on points a short but sensible punt, though there's plenty of value in either to win in the latter stages, with rounds 7-12 individually priced at 16/1 to be the round the fight is won in. Interestingly, Alvarez is a shorter price to hit the canvas at 3/1 compared to Mayweather's odds of 4/1, while the American can be backed at 10/1 to be decked yet go on to win the fight. However, neither fighter to be knocked down is an odds-on chance (1/2). Safest bet: Either fighter to win on points (4/11) Best outside bet: Mayweather to win in rounds 10-12 (10/1) Most popular bet with Sky Bet's customers: Alvarez to win (5/2) Most popular bet in individual round betting: Mayweather Round 10 (33/1) Biggest long shot: Alvarez to win inside opening minute (100/1)